Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027325 0.029300 0.031357 0.033663 0.036179 0.038844 0.041886
2025-06-29 0.023738 0.026503 0.029528 0.033096 0.037203 0.041800 0.047358
2025-07-06 0.021815 0.025114 0.028861 0.033459 0.038982 0.045442 0.053634
2025-07-13 0.020200 0.023829 0.028077 0.033458 0.040150 0.048273 0.058993
2025-07-20 0.019105 0.023013 0.027710 0.033828 0.041673 0.051516 0.064987
2025-07-27 0.017939 0.021995 0.026978 0.033627 0.042383 0.053689 0.069670
2025-08-03 0.016934 0.021092 0.026302 0.033405 0.042988 0.055692 0.074193
2025-08-10 0.016064 0.020296 0.025693 0.033197 0.043551 0.057617 0.078685
2025-08-17 0.015326 0.019619 0.025186 0.033071 0.044179 0.059625 0.083388
2025-08-24 0.014538 0.018829 0.024475 0.032604 0.044274 0.060849 0.086980
2025-08-31 0.013778 0.018033 0.023709 0.032005 0.044123 0.061673 0.089984
2025-09-07 0.013192 0.017446 0.023194 0.031722 0.044394 0.063107 0.093997
2025-09-14 0.012648 0.016895 0.022709 0.031460 0.044686 0.064600 0.098241
2025-09-21 0.012050 0.016243 0.022049 0.030903 0.044494 0.065324 0.101270
2025-09-28 0.011766 0.016022 0.021990 0.031230 0.045661 0.068231 0.108145
2025-10-05 0.011406 0.015673 0.021727 0.031226 0.046302 0.070320 0.113766
2025-10-12 0.011167 0.015488 0.021693 0.031566 0.047495 0.073370 0.121306
2025-10-19 0.010800 0.015099 0.021337 0.031381 0.047821 0.074981 0.126363
2025-10-26 0.010451 0.014723 0.020982 0.031177 0.048096 0.076509 0.131371
2025-11-02 0.010126 0.014370 0.020647 0.030986 0.048376 0.078050 0.136514
2025-11-09 0.009839 0.014063 0.020369 0.030870 0.048769 0.079805 0.142198
2025-11-16 0.009491 0.013651 0.019913 0.030441 0.048597 0.080524 0.145877
2025-11-23 0.009134 0.013213 0.019398 0.029889 0.048180 0.080768 0.148600